Long swings in exchange rates: a stochastic control approach

نویسندگان
چکیده

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Long Swings in Exchange Rates: Are They Really in the Data?

The random walk is often used to model exchange rates. According to the Lucas critique, however, policy shifts may lead to breaks in the trend of exchange rates and hence to long swings. We use a Markov regime-switching model to allow for such swings and we reject the random walk in favor of the regime-switching model. Earlier papers report this result too, but the authors are concerned about t...

متن کامل

Forecasting Exchange Rates: A Neuro-Fuzzy Approach

This paper presents an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) for USD/JPY exchange rates forecasting. Previous work often used time series techniques and neural networks (NN). ANFIS can be used to better explain solutions to users than completely black-box models, such as NN. The proposed neurofuzzy rule based system applies some technical and fundamental indexes as input variables. In o...

متن کامل

Optimal exchange-rates: a market-microstructure approach

We analyze exchange-rate management by the central bank when it makes the FX market for the sake of social-welfare objectives. It is assumed that markets are incomplete, so that agents are exposed to exchange-rate volatility against which they cannot fully hedge. It follows that the central bank may provide insurance by smoothing the exchange rate. However, smoothing the exchange rate also crea...

متن کامل

Forecasting Exchange Rates: a Robust Regression Approach

The least squares estimation method as well as other ordinary estimation method for regression models can be severely affected by a small number of outliers, thus providing poor out-ofsample forecasts. This paper suggests a robust regression approach, based on the S-estimation method, to construct forecasting models that are less sensitive to data contamination by outliers. A robust linear auto...

متن کامل

A Stochastic Control Approach to Portfolio Problems with Stochastic Interest Rates

We consider investment problems where an investor can invest in a savings account, stocks and bonds and tries to maximize her utility from terminal wealth. In contrast to the classical Merton problem we assume a stochastic interest rate. To solve the corresponding control problems it is necessary to prove a veri cation theorem without the usual Lipschitz assumptions.

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: International Transactions in Operational Research

سال: 2007

ISSN: 0969-6016,1475-3995

DOI: 10.1111/j.1475-3995.2007.00608.x